Article 1417

Title of the article

THE DYNAMICS OF ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION BY RUSSIAN REGIONS DEPENDING ON THE TYPES OF THEIR ENERGY-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT (for the period from 2005 to 2014) 

Authors

Bogachkova Lyudmila Yuryevna, doctor of economic sciences, candidate of physical and mathematical sciences, professor, head of sub-department of mathematical methods and computer science in economics, Institute of Management and Regional Economy,
Volgograd State University, E-mail: bogachkova@volsu.ru
Khurshudian Shamam Garnikovna, junior researcher, sub-department of mathematical methods and computer science in economics, Institute of Management and Regional Economy, Volgograd State University, E-mail: shamam1@volsu.ru 

Index UDK

332 

Abstract

Background. The performance of the state policy of energy efficiency depends on monitoring of the implementation of relevant federal and regional programs. However, the Russian system of accounting and analysis of economy's energy intensity is still in its youth. Its regional subsystem is not provided with the methodological materials uniform for all subjects of the Russian Federation. The differential accounting of objective factors (economic growth and structural shifts) and the most relevant subjective (technological) factor from the viewpoint of their contributions to the dynamics of power consumption is not carried out. The structural and dynamic features of GRP, reflecting the nature of energy-economic development of the regions are not taken into account either. The authors have already published the method of factor analysis of power consumption dynamics and the method of classifying the subjects of the Russian Federation by the types of their energy-economic development. The purpose of this research is to reveal the typological features of the dynamics of electricity consumption, related to the sectoral structure of their GRP, in the context of decomposition factor analysis and the evaluation of the performance of energy efficiency policy.
Materials and methods. The authors use the data of Rosstat (Russian State Statistics Service) for the first stage of the Energy Strategy of Russia till 2030 (2005–2014); the methods of statistics, econometrics and comparative analysis; MS Excel and STATISTICA 7.0. data processing tools. The authors analyze the consumption of electrici-ty, since the Rosstat website provides official statistical data necessary for calculations only on this energy resource.
Results. The authors analyze the influence of economic growth, structural shifts and technological factor on electricity consumption in the regions with different types of energy-economic development. The authors also estimate the relative levels of electricity consumption increase on the basis of the index of GRP electricity intensity and the index of technological electricity efficiency. The agrarian-bioresource regions were characterized by the highest increase in the efficiency of electricity consumption; the regions of industrial and diversified types – an above-average level; the trade-financial and budget-dependent regions – a below-average level; the regions of raw-material type – a low level.
Conclusions. Taking into account the features of dynamics of electricity consumption in the regions, associated with the types of their energy-economic development, allows specifying the evaluation of the performance of the state policy of energy efficiency in the regions of the Russian Federation, and excluding the comparisons among territories, which objectively have different indicators of the dynamics of electricity consumption, irrespec-tive of energy efficiency policies. 

Key words

energy efficiency, regional economy, decomposition analysis, indices of energy efficiency, energy-economic development of the region 

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Дата создания: 28.01.2019 15:38
Дата обновления: 30.01.2019 13:34